[NCSG-FC] Financial Assumptions comment

[Sam Lanfranco]

Ayden, et. al.,

I would make one modification. We do  not say why we do not consider a 
worst-case scenario likely to occur, and we see a high funding scenario 
as unlikely. I would simply stop the sentence at ...scenario seems 
unlikely. and drop why we believe that. It is suggested in the first 
sentence, and there is no gain from going on the books with the "if 
there are....".

Sam

On 7/23/2019 10:15 PM, Ayden Férdeline wrote:
> Hi all,
>
> Following our call today, I have updated the proposed financial 
> assumptions comment 
> <https://docs.google.com/document/d/15MRe6L9AkkS1e0y5LBzcLRxMfQt5Shi0RH7jIBKq8To/edit>. 
> Below is the one change that I have made. Please advise ASAP if this 
> new language is acceptable, or if you have any questions or concerns. 
> Thanks.
>
> -- Ayden
>
> New text:
>
> We encourage ICANN org to update its projections to reflect a more 
> realistic scenario, which is that the entire DNS marketplace will 
> begin to contract, as has been the case for new gTLDs, particularly as 
> price caps are removed from legacy gTLDs, resulting in an unstable 
> pricing environment in which existings registrants may be unable or 
> unwilling to renew a domain name. Based on the evidence presented we 
> do not consider a worst-case scenario likely to occur within 
> 2021-2025, but equally, a high funding scenario seems unlikely if 
> there are fewer and fewer domain registrations.
>
>
> Old text:
>
> We encourage ICANN org to update its projections to reflect a more 
> realistic scenario, which is that the entire DNS marketplace continues 
> to contract, particularly as we see evidence that the number of 
> registries is in decline. Based on the evidence presented we do not 
> consider a worst-case scenario likely to occur within 2021-2025, but 
> equally, a high funding scenario seems unlikely if there are fewer and 
> fewer accredited registrars and registry operators.
>
>
>
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-- 
------------------------------------------------
"It is a disgrace to be rich and honored in an
  unjust state" -Confucius
  邦有道，贫且贱焉，耻也。邦无道，富且贵焉，耻也
------------------------------------------------
Dr Sam Lanfranco (Prof Emeritus), Econ, York U., CANADA
email: sam at lanfranco.net   Skype: slanfranco
blog:  https://samlanfranco.blogspot.com
Phone: +1 613-476-0429 cell: +1 416-816-2852

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