[NCSG-FC] Financial Assumptions comment

[Ayden Férdeline]

Thanks Sam, I am friendly to this amendment.

Given time constraints, I am going to make this edit now and forward the revised comment to the NCSG-Discuss list for further member input and to the NCSG Finance Committee for review and potential endorsement.

If any members or observers of the Finance Committee have any concerns regarding this edit or the comment text, it is not too late to flag these concerns, however I would then be forwarding your concerns to the Policy Committee list so that the Policy Committee can be both aware of them and can consider addressing them.

Best wishes, Ayden Férdeline

‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ Original Message ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
On Wednesday, 24 July 2019 11:10, Sam Lanfranco <sam at lanfranco.net> wrote:

> Ayden, et. al.,
>
> I would make one modification. We do  not say why we do not consider a worst-case scenario likely to occur, and we see a high funding scenario as unlikely. I would simply stop the sentence at ...scenario seems unlikely. and drop why we believe that. It is suggested in the first sentence, and there is no gain from going on the books with the "if there are....".
>
> Sam
>
> On 7/23/2019 10:15 PM, Ayden Férdeline wrote:
>
>> Hi all,
>>
>> Following our call today, I have updated the [proposed financial assumptions comment](https://docs.google.com/document/d/15MRe6L9AkkS1e0y5LBzcLRxMfQt5Shi0RH7jIBKq8To/edit). Below is the one change that I have made. Please advise ASAP if this new language is acceptable, or if you have any questions or concerns. Thanks.
>>
>> -- Ayden
>>
>> New text:
>>
>> We encourage ICANN org to update its projections to reflect a more realistic scenario, which is that the entire DNS marketplace will begin to contract, as has been the case for new gTLDs, particularly as price caps are removed from legacy gTLDs, resulting in an unstable pricing environment in which existings registrants may be unable or unwilling to renew a domain name. Based on the evidence presented we do not consider a worst-case scenario likely to occur within 2021-2025, but equally, a high funding scenario seems unlikely if there are fewer and fewer domain registrations.
>>
>> Old text:
>>
>> We encourage ICANN org to update its projections to reflect a more realistic scenario, which is that the entire DNS marketplace continues to contract, particularly as we see evidence that the number of registries is in decline. Based on the evidence presented we do not consider a worst-case scenario likely to occur within 2021-2025, but equally, a high funding scenario seems unlikely if there are fewer and fewer accredited registrars and registry operators.
>>
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>>
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>
> --
> ------------------------------------------------
> "It is a disgrace to be rich and honored in an
>  unjust state" -Confucius
>  邦有道，贫且贱焉，耻也。邦无道，富且贵焉，耻也
> ------------------------------------------------
> Dr Sam Lanfranco (Prof Emeritus), Econ, York U., CANADA
> email:
> sam at lanfranco.net
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